Norway vs Malta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
TUR
2 - 2
NOR
45%
26%
30%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 2
BIH
84%
12%
4%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
CRO
2 - 1
NOR
52%
25%
23%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
SRB
1 - 1
NOR
18%
26%
56%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
GRC
1 - 0
NOR
39%
27%
34%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
MLT
0 - 1
GRC
17%
26%
56%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
MDA
1 - 1
MLT
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
MLT
1 - 1
AUT
11%
18%
71%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
MLT
1 - 4
LTU
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
MLT
2 - 1
HUN
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | +2 |