Norway vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.8%
9.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1950 |
DEN
4 - 0
NOR
77%
13%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
87%
8%
5%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
NOR
0 - 2
DEN
51%
20%
29%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1949 |
FIN
1 - 1
NOR
37%
20%
43%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1949 |
NOR
1 - 3
YUG
60%
18%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
LUX
2 - 3
SUI
44%
21%
35%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1949 |
SUI
5 - 2
LUX
77%
13%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1949 |
CSK
2 - 2
LUX
84%
10%
7%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 1948 |
YUG
6 - 1
LUX
79%
12%
9%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1948 |
LUX
6 - 0
AFG
61%
18%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |