Norway vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14%
12.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1972 |
NOR
0 - 1
URU
24%
22%
54%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
FIN
0 - 0
NOR
49%
22%
29%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1972 |
ISR
2 - 1
NOR
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1971 |
HUN
4 - 0
NOR
88%
9%
3%
|
62 | 91 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
NOR
1 - 4
DEN
52%
21%
27%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1972 |
ISL
2 - 5
DEN
34%
22%
44%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1972 |
ISL
0 - 4
BEL
23%
21%
56%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1972 |
BEL
4 - 0
ISL
81%
12%
7%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1971 |
ISL
0 - 2
JPN
29%
22%
50%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1971 |
FRA
1 - 0
ISL
62%
18%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |