Norway vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
62.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1966 |
DEN
0 - 1
NOR
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
POR
4 - 0
NOR
68%
17%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
YUG
1 - 1
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
82%
12%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
NOR
2 - 2
DEN
44%
22%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1966 |
FIN
0 - 3
ENG
21%
20%
60%
|
89 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 0
YUG
75%
15%
11%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1966 |
SCO
3 - 4
ENG
36%
23%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
ENG
1 - 0
GER
70%
16%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1966 |
ENG
1 - 1
POL
87%
8%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |