Norway vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
37.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1936 |
NED
3 - 3
NOR
62%
18%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
NOR
3 - 3
DEN
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1936 |
NOR
0 - 2
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1936 |
NOR
3 - 2
POL
61%
18%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1936 |
ITA
2 - 1
NOR
71%
15%
14%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1937 |
SCO
3 - 1
ENG
42%
22%
36%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1936 |
ENG
6 - 2
HUN
59%
19%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1936 |
ENG
3 - 1
NIR
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
WAL
2 - 1
ENG
31%
21%
48%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1936 |
BEL
3 - 2
ENG
28%
21%
51%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | -1 |