Norway vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
31%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1934 |
NOR
3 - 1
DEN
54%
20%
25%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1934 |
NOR
4 - 2
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1934 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
76%
13%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1934 |
NOR
4 - 0
AUS
90%
7%
3%
|
73 | 8 | 65 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
GER
2 - 2
NOR
62%
18%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1935 |
FRA
2 - 0
HUN
32%
21%
47%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
HUN
6 - 3
AUT
46%
21%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
SUI
6 - 2
HUN
34%
21%
46%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1934 |
NED
2 - 4
HUN
47%
21%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1934 |
ITA
4 - 2
HUN
64%
18%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |