Norway vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.5%
18.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
NOR
0 - 1
DEN
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1953 |
FIN
1 - 4
NOR
49%
20%
31%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1953 |
NOR
1 - 1
BRD
54%
20%
26%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1953 |
NOR
3 - 1
ISL
61%
17%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 1953 |
NOR
2 - 3
PDS
48%
20%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
NED
0 - 2
BEL
57%
19%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
NED
1 - 2
SUI
62%
18%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1953 |
NED
1 - 2
DEN
56%
20%
24%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
BEL
2 - 1
NED
65%
16%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
DEN
3 - 2
NED
69%
15%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |