Norway vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
SWE
4 - 1
NOR
85%
9%
6%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
NOR
3 - 5
DEN
54%
20%
26%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1947 |
FIN
3 - 3
NOR
36%
20%
44%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1947 |
ISL
2 - 4
NOR
52%
19%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 1947 |
NOR
1 - 5
SWE
41%
21%
39%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
NED
2 - 2
BEL
78%
12%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
37%
21%
42%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
NED
6 - 2
SUI
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1947 |
FRA
4 - 0
NED
46%
21%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
BEL
1 - 2
NED
39%
20%
41%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |