Norway vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1929 |
NOR
3 - 7
SCO
36%
24%
40%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1928 |
NOR
0 - 2
GER
43%
22%
35%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1928 |
NOR
2 - 3
DEN
39%
24%
37%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1928 |
SWE
6 - 1
NOR
80%
12%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1928 |
FIN
0 - 6
NOR
65%
17%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
6 - 2
NED
68%
16%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1929 |
NED
0 - 2
SCO
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1929 |
BEL
3 - 1
NED
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1929 |
NED
4 - 0
BEL
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1929 |
NED
3 - 2
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |