Norway vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
52.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1919 |
NOR
4 - 3
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1919 |
DEN
5 - 1
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1918 |
DEN
4 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1918 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
38%
25%
38%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1918 |
NOR
3 - 1
DEN
23%
23%
54%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1919 |
SWE
4 - 1
NED
43%
22%
35%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1919 |
NED
3 - 1
SWE
79%
13%
8%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1914 |
DEN
4 - 3
NED
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1914 |
NED
4 - 2
BEL
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1914 |
NED
4 - 4
GER
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |