Norway vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1984 |
HUN
0 - 0
NOR
86%
10%
3%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1984 |
LUX
0 - 2
NOR
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
YUG
2 - 1
NOR
86%
10%
3%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
NOR
0 - 0
WAL
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1983 |
NOR
1 - 2
BGR
33%
24%
43%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1984 |
WAL
1 - 1
NIR
60%
25%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1984 |
WAL
1 - 0
ENG
24%
27%
49%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1984 |
SCO
2 - 1
WAL
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1983 |
WAL
1 - 1
YUG
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
BGR
1 - 0
WAL
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |