Norway vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
42.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
NOR
2 - 0
MLT
87%
10%
4%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1995 |
NOR
3 - 2
GHA
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
NOR
5 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
87 | 37 | 50 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
LUX
0 - 2
NOR
9%
19%
72%
|
87 | 37 | 50 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1995 |
CYP
0 - 2
NOR
18%
24%
59%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
FRA
4 - 0
SVK
92%
7%
2%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
ISR
0 - 0
FRA
19%
28%
53%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
NED
0 - 1
FRA
48%
27%
25%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1994 |
AZE
0 - 2
FRA
7%
19%
74%
|
94 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
POL
0 - 0
FRA
30%
28%
42%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |