Norway vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1936 |
NOR
3 - 2
POL
61%
18%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1936 |
ITA
2 - 1
NOR
71%
15%
14%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1936 |
GER
0 - 2
NOR
69%
16%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 1936 |
TUR
0 - 4
NOR
49%
21%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 1936 |
SWE
3 - 4
NOR
77%
12%
10%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1936 |
EST
2 - 2
FIN
51%
21%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1936 |
PER
7 - 3
FIN
65%
18%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1936 |
FIN
1 - 4
DEN
49%
21%
31%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
DEN
5 - 1
FIN
80%
12%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1935 |
FIN
1 - 5
NOR
49%
20%
31%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |