Norway vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.6%
11.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
NOR
3 - 0
EST
71%
16%
14%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
39%
22%
40%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1931 |
FIN
4 - 4
NOR
48%
21%
31%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
NOR
2 - 2
GER
51%
21%
28%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1931 |
DEN
3 - 1
NOR
73%
15%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1932 |
FIN
1 - 3
SWE
36%
21%
44%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1932 |
SWE
7 - 1
FIN
84%
10%
7%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1931 |
DEN
2 - 3
FIN
81%
12%
8%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 1931 |
FIN
4 - 4
NOR
48%
21%
31%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1931 |
FIN
4 - 0
LVA
62%
18%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |