Norway vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
12.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
NED
1 - 4
NOR
69%
16%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1929 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
37%
22%
41%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1929 |
DEN
2 - 5
NOR
76%
14%
11%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 1929 |
NOR
4 - 0
FIN
66%
17%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1929 |
NOR
4 - 4
NED
40%
22%
37%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
GER
4 - 0
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
DEN
8 - 0
FIN
78%
13%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1929 |
FIN
3 - 1
LVA
57%
20%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1929 |
FIN
2 - 1
EST
58%
20%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1929 |
EST
1 - 1
FIN
63%
19%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |