Norway vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
5.9%
4-3
2.5%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
19%
18%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18%
26%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1948 |
DEN
1 - 2
NOR
75%
13%
12%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1948 |
NOR
1 - 2
NED
50%
20%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
SWE
4 - 1
NOR
85%
9%
6%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
NOR
3 - 5
DEN
54%
20%
26%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1947 |
FIN
3 - 3
NOR
36%
20%
44%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1948 |
ITA
9 - 0
USA
82%
11%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1947 |
CUB
5 - 2
USA
30%
20%
51%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 1947 |
USA
0 - 5
MEX
48%
21%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1937 |
MEX
5 - 1
USA
66%
17%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
MEX
7 - 3
USA
64%
18%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |