Norway vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
64.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1979 |
NOR
0 - 1
POR
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
SCO
3 - 2
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 1
NOR
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
NOR
0 - 2
AUT
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1978 |
FIN
1 - 1
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
SCO
1 - 3
ARG
39%
28%
33%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
ENG
3 - 1
SCO
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1979 |
SCO
1 - 0
NIR
73%
19%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
WAL
3 - 0
SCO
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
SCO
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |