Norway vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
57%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 0
NOR
81%
12%
7%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
LUX
2 - 1
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1973 |
BEL
2 - 0
NOR
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
NOR
0 - 1
DEN
42%
23%
35%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
NOR
1 - 2
NED
37%
24%
40%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1974 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCO
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
SCO
2 - 0
ENG
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1974 |
SCO
2 - 0
WAL
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1974 |
SCO
0 - 1
NIR
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
GER
2 - 1
SCO
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |