Norway vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
45.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1963 |
NOR
2 - 5
POL
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
SWE
1 - 1
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
28%
23%
49%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1962 |
NOR
2 - 1
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1962 |
ISL
1 - 3
NOR
57%
19%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1963 |
SCO
4 - 1
AUT
55%
21%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1963 |
ENG
1 - 2
SCO
78%
13%
10%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1962 |
SCO
5 - 1
NIR
76%
15%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1962 |
WAL
2 - 3
SCO
41%
23%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1962 |
SCO
2 - 3
URU
51%
22%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |