Norway vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1990 |
NIR
2 - 3
NOR
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1990 |
MLT
1 - 1
NOR
23%
25%
53%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
KOR
2 - 3
NOR
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
SCO
1 - 1
NOR
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1989 |
KWT
2 - 2
NOR
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1990 |
GER
1 - 0
DEN
38%
27%
36%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1990 |
ENG
1 - 0
DEN
69%
21%
10%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1990 |
DEN
1 - 0
TUR
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1990 |
EGY
0 - 0
DEN
33%
30%
37%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1990 |
UAE
1 - 1
DEN
19%
26%
55%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |