Norway vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1982 |
NOR
2 - 4
BRD
12%
21%
67%
|
61 | 95 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
HUN
4 - 1
NOR
87%
10%
3%
|
61 | 90 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
DEN
2 - 1
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
NOR
2 - 1
ENG
15%
23%
63%
|
60 | 92 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1982 |
DEN
1 - 0
BEL
46%
26%
27%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1982 |
AUT
1 - 0
DEN
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1982 |
DEN
1 - 1
SWE
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
GRC
2 - 3
DEN
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
DEN
2 - 1
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |