Norway vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
26.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
NOR
1 - 3
FRA
29%
23%
49%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
FIN
1 - 1
NOR
47%
23%
31%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1971 |
SWE
3 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
6%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1971 |
NOR
1 - 7
BRD
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1971 |
NOR
1 - 4
BGR
31%
24%
45%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
DEN
0 - 0
FIN
76%
13%
10%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
ALE
1 - 3
DEN
23%
20%
56%
|
72 | 9 | 63 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1971 |
DEN
3 - 2
ENG
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 16 | 56 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1971 |
DEN
3 - 2
JPN
52%
21%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1971 |
DEN
1 - 3
BRD
31%
27%
43%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |