Norway vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1963 |
POL
9 - 0
NOR
68%
16%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1963 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1963 |
FIN
2 - 0
NOR
37%
22%
41%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1963 |
NOR
4 - 3
SCO
31%
23%
46%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1963 |
NOR
2 - 5
POL
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1963 |
DEN
4 - 0
ALB
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1963 |
DEN
2 - 3
ROU
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1963 |
DEN
1 - 1
FIN
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 41 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
HUN
6 - 0
DEN
87%
8%
4%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1962 |
TUR
1 - 1
DEN
45%
23%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |