Norway vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1957 |
NOR
0 - 0
SWE
37%
22%
41%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1957 |
NOR
2 - 1
HUN
10%
15%
75%
|
68 | 92 | 24 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1957 |
NOR
1 - 2
BGR
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
POL
5 - 3
NOR
57%
20%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
NOR
3 - 1
SWE
33%
22%
45%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1957 |
FIN
2 - 0
DEN
44%
22%
35%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1957 |
DEN
1 - 1
BGR
71%
15%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1957 |
DEN
1 - 4
ENG
24%
21%
55%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1956 |
ENG
5 - 2
DEN
86%
9%
5%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
DEN
2 - 2
NED
67%
16%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |