Norway vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1936 |
NOR
0 - 2
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1936 |
NOR
3 - 2
POL
61%
18%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1936 |
ITA
2 - 1
NOR
71%
15%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1936 |
GER
0 - 2
NOR
69%
16%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 1936 |
TUR
0 - 4
NOR
49%
21%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1936 |
FIN
1 - 4
DEN
49%
21%
31%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1936 |
DEN
4 - 3
SWE
54%
19%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1935 |
NED
3 - 0
DEN
55%
20%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
DEN
5 - 1
FIN
80%
12%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1935 |
DEN
1 - 0
NOR
64%
17%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |