Norway vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1934 |
NOR
4 - 2
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1934 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
76%
13%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1934 |
NOR
4 - 0
AUS
90%
7%
3%
|
73 | 8 | 65 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
GER
2 - 2
NOR
62%
18%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
NOR
0 - 1
SWE
50%
20%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1934 |
FIN
2 - 1
DEN
46%
21%
33%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1934 |
DEN
3 - 5
SWE
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1934 |
DEN
4 - 2
POL
68%
17%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
BEL
2 - 2
DEN
45%
22%
33%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
DEN
2 - 0
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |