Norway vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1928 |
SWE
6 - 1
NOR
80%
12%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1928 |
FIN
0 - 6
NOR
65%
17%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1927 |
DEN
3 - 1
NOR
75%
14%
11%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1927 |
GER
6 - 2
NOR
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 1927 |
NOR
3 - 5
SWE
34%
23%
43%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1928 |
NED
2 - 0
DEN
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1927 |
DEN
3 - 1
NOR
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1927 |
DEN
3 - 1
GER
66%
17%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1927 |
SWE
0 - 0
DEN
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1927 |
DEN
1 - 1
NED
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |