Norway vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1924 |
FIN
2 - 0
NOR
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1924 |
NOR
0 - 2
GER
51%
21%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1923 |
GER
1 - 0
NOR
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1923 |
FRA
0 - 2
NOR
50%
22%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1923 |
DEN
2 - 1
NOR
69%
16%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1924 |
DEN
2 - 3
SWE
64%
19%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1924 |
SUI
2 - 0
DEN
42%
24%
35%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1923 |
SWE
1 - 3
DEN
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1923 |
DEN
2 - 1
NOR
69%
16%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1923 |
DEN
3 - 2
SUI
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |