Norway vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1919 |
NOR
3 - 2
DEN
28%
24%
49%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1919 |
SWE
1 - 5
NOR
78%
13%
10%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 1919 |
NOR
1 - 1
NED
25%
22%
53%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1919 |
NOR
4 - 3
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1919 |
DEN
5 - 1
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1920 |
NED
2 - 0
DEN
62%
19%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1919 |
SWE
3 - 0
DEN
44%
23%
34%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1919 |
NOR
3 - 2
DEN
28%
24%
49%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1919 |
DEN
5 - 1
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1919 |
DEN
3 - 0
SWE
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |