Norway vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
53.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1918 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
7%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1917 |
DEN
12 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
6%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1917 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWE
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1917 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1917 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1918 |
DEN
3 - 0
SWE
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1917 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
51%
21%
27%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1917 |
DEN
12 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1917 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1917 |
DEN
1 - 1
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |