Norway vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
50.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1916 |
DEN
8 - 0
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1916 |
NOR
1 - 1
USA
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1916 |
SWE
6 - 0
NOR
79%
12%
9%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 2
DEN
29%
24%
48%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1915 |
SWE
5 - 2
NOR
78%
13%
9%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1917 |
DEN
1 - 1
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1916 |
DEN
8 - 0
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1916 |
SWE
4 - 0
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 2
DEN
29%
24%
48%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1916 |
DEN
2 - 0
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |