Norway vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1988 |
NOR
1 - 1
BRA
15%
26%
59%
|
76 | 95 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1988 |
NOR
0 - 0
IRL
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1987 |
DDR
3 - 1
NOR
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1987 |
FRA
1 - 1
NOR
77%
17%
7%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1987 |
NOR
0 - 1
ISL
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1988 |
ISL
2 - 3
BGR
23%
25%
52%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1988 |
FIN
1 - 1
BGR
29%
25%
45%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1988 |
NED
1 - 2
BGR
66%
22%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1988 |
BGR
1 - 1
DDR
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
BGR
2 - 0
CSK
39%
29%
33%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |