Norway vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
POL
5 - 3
NOR
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
NOR
3 - 1
SWE
33%
22%
45%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1956 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1956 |
ROU
2 - 0
NOR
64%
19%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 1956 |
DEN
2 - 3
NOR
75%
14%
11%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1956 |
BGR
3 - 0
IND
68%
16%
16%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1956 |
SUN
2 - 1
BGR
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1956 |
BGR
6 - 1
GBR
61%
19%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
BGR
3 - 1
DDR
88%
9%
4%
|
66 | 13 | 53 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1956 |
BGR
2 - 0
ROU
49%
22%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |