Norway vs Bosnia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.2%
2.3%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ROU
0 - 1
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
NOR
2 - 2
DEN
44%
27%
30%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
NOR
0 - 1
NED
25%
24%
52%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2002 |
NOR
1 - 1
ISL
75%
17%
7%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2002 |
NOR
3 - 0
JPN
56%
24%
20%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
BIH
1 - 1
GER
8%
19%
74%
|
75 | 96 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
BIH
0 - 3
ROU
11%
20%
69%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
BIH
0 - 2
YUG
9%
19%
72%
|
76 | 95 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
CRO
2 - 0
BIH
87%
10%
3%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
BIH
4 - 4
MKD
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |