Norway vs Belarus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1994 |
IRL
0 - 0
NOR
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 0
NOR
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1994 |
NOR
1 - 0
MEX
46%
27%
27%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1994 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1994 |
NOR
2 - 1
DEN
38%
30%
33%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
POL
1 - 1
BLR
89%
8%
3%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1994 |
UKR
3 - 1
BLR
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1993 |
PER
1 - 1
BLR
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1993 |
ECU
1 - 1
BLR
65%
19%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1992 |
BLR
1 - 1
UKR
47%
23%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |