Norway vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
57.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1978 |
FIN
1 - 1
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
33%
24%
43%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
NOR
0 - 0
IRL
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
ESP
3 - 0
NOR
84%
13%
4%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
SUI
1 - 0
NOR
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1978 |
AUT
3 - 2
BRD
38%
26%
37%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1978 |
NED
5 - 1
AUT
71%
17%
13%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
BRA
1 - 0
AUT
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
AUT
1 - 0
SWE
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |