Norway vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
41.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1960 |
NOR
4 - 0
ISL
59%
18%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
DEN
3 - 0
NOR
73%
15%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1959 |
NED
7 - 1
NOR
73%
15%
12%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
SWE
6 - 2
NOR
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1959 |
AUT
5 - 2
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1960 |
AUT
4 - 1
SCO
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
CSK
4 - 0
AUT
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
CSK
2 - 1
AUT
50%
21%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
AUT
2 - 4
FRA
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1960 |
AUT
0 - 4
HUN
22%
20%
59%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |