Norway vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
43.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1956 |
NOR
0 - 0
POL
68%
17%
16%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1955 |
GER
2 - 0
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
NED
3 - 0
NOR
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
SWE
1 - 1
NOR
86%
9%
6%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEN
55%
20%
25%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1956 |
GER
1 - 3
ENG
54%
20%
26%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1955 |
ITA
2 - 1
GER
62%
18%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1955 |
GER
2 - 0
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1955 |
SUN
3 - 2
GER
12%
15%
73%
|
85 | 19 | 66 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1955 |
GER
2 - 1
IRL
83%
10%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |