Norway vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
6 - 3
NOR
64%
17%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1939 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWE
55%
19%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1939 |
SWE
3 - 2
NOR
70%
15%
16%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1938 |
ENG
4 - 0
NOR
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
POL
2 - 2
NOR
53%
20%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1939 |
GER
1 - 1
IRL
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
ITA
3 - 2
GER
68%
16%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
LUX
2 - 1
GER
27%
21%
52%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
GER
3 - 2
YUG
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 4
GER
33%
22%
46%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |