Norway vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
28.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1931 |
DEN
3 - 1
NOR
73%
15%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
GER
1 - 1
NOR
66%
17%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1930 |
NOR
1 - 0
DEN
45%
23%
33%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1930 |
SWE
6 - 3
NOR
77%
13%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1930 |
NOR
3 - 0
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1931 |
SWE
0 - 0
GER
70%
16%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
NED
1 - 1
GER
53%
21%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
FRA
1 - 0
GER
33%
23%
44%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
GER
1 - 1
NOR
66%
17%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
GER
5 - 3
HUN
51%
21%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |