Norway vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1928 |
NOR
2 - 3
DEN
39%
24%
37%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1928 |
SWE
6 - 1
NOR
80%
12%
9%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1928 |
FIN
0 - 6
NOR
65%
17%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 1927 |
DEN
3 - 1
NOR
75%
14%
11%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1927 |
GER
6 - 2
NOR
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1928 |
GER
2 - 1
DEN
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1928 |
URU
4 - 1
GER
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1928 |
SUI
0 - 4
GER
48%
22%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
SUI
2 - 3
GER
51%
21%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1927 |
GER
2 - 2
NED
46%
22%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |