Norway vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
28%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1923 |
GER
1 - 0
NOR
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1923 |
FRA
0 - 2
NOR
50%
22%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1923 |
DEN
2 - 1
NOR
69%
16%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1923 |
NOR
2 - 3
SWE
54%
22%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1923 |
NOR
2 - 2
SUI
58%
20%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1924 |
NED
0 - 1
GER
70%
16%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1924 |
GER
4 - 3
AUT
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1923 |
GER
1 - 0
NOR
54%
21%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1923 |
GER
1 - 2
FIN
62%
20%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1923 |
SWE
2 - 1
GER
58%
20%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |