Norway vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1953 |
NOR
3 - 1
ISL
61%
17%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1953 |
NOR
2 - 3
PDS
48%
20%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
DEN
1 - 3
NOR
74%
14%
12%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
NOR
1 - 2
SWE
40%
21%
39%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1952 |
NOR
7 - 2
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
BRD
3 - 2
YUG
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1952 |
SWE
2 - 0
BRD
77%
13%
10%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1952 |
YUG
3 - 1
BRD
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1952 |
BRD
4 - 2
BRA
39%
22%
39%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 1952 |
BRD
3 - 1
EGY
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |