Norway vs The Saarland analysis


68	ELO	77
14.4%	Tilt	10.5%
13913º	General ELO ranking	36165º
108º	Country ELO ranking	1418º
ELO win probability

47.5%

Norway

19.7%

Draw

32.7%

The Saarland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

47.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.32
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.9%

19.7%

Draw

0-0

1.4%

1-1

6.4%

2-2

7.1%

3-3

3.5%

4-4

1%

5-5

0.2%

6-6

<0%

0

19.7%

32.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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