Norway vs Gales B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.1%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
54%
20%
26%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1932 |
SWE
1 - 4
NOR
76%
13%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1932 |
NOR
2 - 1
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
NOR
3 - 0
EST
71%
16%
14%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
39%
22%
40%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |