Nigeria vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 1
NGA
34%
29%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
LBY
2 - 3
NGA
23%
29%
49%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
NGA
4 - 0
LBY
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SYC
0 - 3
NGA
9%
20%
71%
|
84 | 38 | 46 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
NGA
1 - 2
ARG
19%
23%
59%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
UGA
1 - 0
CPV
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
LSO
0 - 2
UGA
14%
22%
64%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
UGA
3 - 0
LSO
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
UGA
0 - 0
TAN
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
NIG
2 - 1
UGA
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |