Nigeria vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
YEM
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
NGA
0 - 1
CIV
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 2
RSA
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CGO
0 - 2
NGA
18%
28%
54%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
NGA
3 - 1
SDN
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 0
UGA
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
UGA
1 - 0
GHA
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UGA
3 - 0
ETH
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
TOG
1 - 0
UGA
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
UGA
0 - 1
TOG
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |