Nigeria vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
NGA
1 - 4
GHA
63%
22%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
LSO
0 - 1
NGA
4%
17%
79%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
NGA
2 - 0
NIG
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2006 |
NGA
1 - 0
SEN
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
CIV
1 - 0
NGA
38%
25%
37%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
RWA
4 - 2
UGA
30%
24%
46%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
SDN
6 - 5
UGA
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
UGA
4 - 2
MWI
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
UGA
2 - 0
SOM
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2006 |
RWA
0 - 1
UGA
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |