Nigeria vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2016 |
LUX
1 - 3
NGA
14%
26%
60%
|
85 | 44 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
NGA
1 - 0
MLI
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
EGY
1 - 0
NGA
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
NGA
1 - 1
EGY
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
NGA
32%
29%
39%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
TAN
0 - 2
EGY
14%
23%
63%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
KEN
1 - 1
TAN
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
TAN
31%
23%
46%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
ALG
7 - 0
TAN
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
TAN
2 - 2
ALG
16%
25%
59%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +1 |