Nigeria vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
NGA
0 - 0
CMR
62%
19%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1980 |
NGA
1 - 0
SRB
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
NGA
5 - 0
BEN
84%
11%
6%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1979 |
SRB
1 - 1
NGA
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
BEN
1 - 1
NGA
27%
23%
50%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1979 |
MWI
4 - 0
TAN
56%
20%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1979 |
MWI
1 - 1
TAN
56%
20%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1979 |
TAN
5 - 3
UGA
55%
20%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1979 |
ZAM
2 - 2
TAN
68%
16%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
KEN
0 - 0
TAN
51%
21%
28%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |